Basel II vs Paradiso: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, Basel
The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Paradiso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basel II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basel II vs Paradiso?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Basel II (1,589) and Paradiso (1,572).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basel II vs Paradiso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basel II
Not enough data to predict the Basel II lineup.
Paradiso
4-3-3- EEvan Rossier
- AA. Lleshi
- SS. Piazza
- CC. Bonanni
- TT. Centinaro
- SS. Thioune
- MM. Facchinetti
- EE. Schelotto
- SSamuel Delli Carri
- 3N. De Queiroz
- 13M. Gomis
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basel II have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Paradiso have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bulle(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Basel II wins, 1 draw, 2 Paradiso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Paradiso 2-3 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Basel II 5-0 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Basel II 0-3 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Paradiso 1-3 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Paradiso 1-1 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Basel II 1-3 Paradiso | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Basel II score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Paradiso score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel II | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Paradiso | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basel II sit 8th in 1. Liga Promotion (16 points from 11 matches) and Paradiso sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paradiso | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | Basel II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
A question about Basel II vs Paradiso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basel II vs Paradiso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Paradiso.
- Where and when is Basel II vs Paradiso played?
- Basel II vs Paradiso is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.