Luzern II vs Zürich II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Zürich II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzern II vs Zürich II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Luzern II (1,648) and Zürich II (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zürich II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basel II(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luzern II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Zürich II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Zürich II 2-3 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Luzern II 0-0 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Zürich II 2-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Luzern II 4-2 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Zürich II 4-0 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Luzern II 2-2 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Zürich II vs Luzern II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zürich II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Zürich II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzern II sit 14th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Zürich II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zürich II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzern II vs Zürich II?
- The Footlab model makes Luzern II the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Zürich II.
- Where and when is Luzern II vs Zürich II played?
- Luzern II vs Zürich II is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Hubelmatt, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.