Lugano II vs Breitenrain: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugano II vs Breitenrain?
Breitenrain starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Breitenrain have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lugano II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Breitenrain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Lugano II 0-4 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Breitenrain 2-3 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lugano II 2-2 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Breitenrain 1-0 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 18, 2024 | Breitenrain 1-2 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lugano II 2-1 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Lugano II vs Breitenrain on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Breitenrain score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Breitenrain | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano II sit 17th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Breitenrain sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Breitenrain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugano II vs Breitenrain?
- The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Lugano II vs Breitenrain played?
- Lugano II vs Breitenrain is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.