Match

Basel W vs Aarau W: prediction and stats

AXA Women’s Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, Basel

Basel WAarau W

The Footlab AI model makes Basel W the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Aarau W. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basel W vs Aarau W?

Basel W is a heavy favourite: 1,665 Elo points against 1,270, a 395-point gap.

85%10%5%
Basel W winDrawAarau W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Basel W vs Aarau W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Basel W

4-3-3
  1. 19A. Berti
  2. 9I. Rudelić
  3. 22Z. Rurack
  1. 18C. Sow
  2. 5S. Jackson
  3. 15A. Baass
  1. 3W. Zieniewicz
  2. 10S. Seghir
  3. 20J. Vojtekova
  4. 34C. Christen
  1. 25N. Leivonen

Aarau W

4-3-3
  1. 11A. Klingenstein
  2. 17J. Steck
  3. 9A. Rama
  1. 27C. Hofer
  2. 8V. Hoti
  3. 13F. Reinschmidt
  1. 6B. Asgeirsdottir
  2. 22M. Stierli
  3. 4A. Jaggi
  4. 12E. Elezi
  1. 1L. Barth

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basel W have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aarau W have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basel W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Yverdon W(away)2-3AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 19, 2026Rapperswil Jona W(home)2-2AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 13, 2026Zürich W(away)1-1AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 9, 2026Grasshopper W(home)1-1AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 4, 2026St. Gallen W(home)1-0AXA Women’s Super League
Aarau W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Rapperswil Jona W(away)2-5AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 19, 2026Young Boys W(home)1-2AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 13, 2026Yverdon W(away)1-4AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 9, 2026St. Gallen W(away)2-2AXA Women’s Super League
Sep 5, 2026Luzern W(home)0-1AXA Women’s Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Basel W wins, 0 draws, 1 Aarau W win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2025Aarau W 0-1 Basel WAXA Women’s Super League
Aug 23, 2025Basel W 2-0 Aarau WAXA Women’s Super League
Apr 19, 2025Basel W 4-0 Aarau WAXA Women’s Super League
Apr 12, 2025Aarau W 1-2 Basel WAXA Women’s Super League
Nov 17, 2024Basel W 2-0 Aarau WAXA Women’s Super League
Aug 17, 2024Aarau W 2-1 Basel WAXA Women’s Super League

Last archived meeting: Aarau W vs Basel W on Nov 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Basel W score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aarau W score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basel W1.80.977/158/15
Aarau W0.72.737/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basel W sit 5th in AXA Women’s Super League (12 points from 8 matches) and Aarau W sit 10th (1 point from 8 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Basel W8332121012
10Aarau W80177301

A question about Basel W vs Aarau W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basel W vs Aarau W?
The Footlab AI model makes Basel W the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Aarau W.
Where and when is Basel W vs Aarau W played?
Basel W vs Aarau W is played on November 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, in the AXA Women’s Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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