Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
The Footlab model makes Bassano Virtus the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bassano Virtus (1,762) and Calvi Noale (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bassano Virtus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Calvi Noale have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Adriese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bassano Virtus win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Calvi Noale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus 0-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Calvi Noale 0-0 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Bassano Virtus 1-1 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Calvi Noale 1-0 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bassano Virtus score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bassano Virtus | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bassano Virtus sit 8th in Serie D - Girone C (50 points from 34 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 50 |
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab model makes Bassano Virtus the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale played?
- Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rino Mercante, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.