Luparense vs Bassano Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, San Martino di Lupari
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Bassano Virtus. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Luparense (1,810) and Bassano Virtus (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luparense vs Bassano Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Bassano Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Bassano Virtus lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luparense have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Bassano Virtus have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sandona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brian Lignano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luparense win, 2 draws, 3 Bassano Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Luparense 1-0 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bassano Virtus 1-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Bassano Virtus 0-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Luparense 0-0 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Luparense 0-1 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Bassano Virtus 2-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Luparense vs Bassano Virtus on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luparense score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bassano Virtus score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luparense | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bassano Virtus | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luparense sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone C (21 points from 11 matches) and Bassano Virtus sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luparense | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Bassano Virtus | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luparense vs Bassano Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Bassano Virtus.
- Where and when is Luparense vs Bassano Virtus played?
- Luparense vs Bassano Virtus is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.