Mestre vs Legnago Salus: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Mestre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Legnago Salus?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Mestre (1,766) and Legnago Salus (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Legnago Salus have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Legnago Salus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Este(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mestre win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Legnago Salus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus 2-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mestre 1-1 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Legnago Salus 0-1 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Mestre 3-1 Legnago Salus | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Mestre 2-1 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Legnago Salus 1-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Legnago Salus vs Mestre on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Legnago Salus score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Legnago Salus | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 6th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Legnago Salus sit 2nd (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 61 |
| 6 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Legnago Salus?
- The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Mestre.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Legnago Salus played?
- Mestre vs Legnago Salus is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.