Bassano Virtus vs Este: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
The Footlab model makes Bassano Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Este. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bassano Virtus vs Este?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Bassano Virtus (1,762) and Este (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bassano Virtus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Este have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bassano Virtus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Este win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Este 1-2 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bassano Virtus 1-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Bassano Virtus 4-0 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Este 3-1 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 5, 2024 | Este 2-0 Bassano Virtus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Bassano Virtus 0-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Este vs Bassano Virtus on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bassano Virtus score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Este score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bassano Virtus | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Este | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bassano Virtus sit 8th in Serie D - Girone C (50 points from 34 matches) and Este sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Este | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 55 |
| 8 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bassano Virtus vs Este?
- The Footlab model makes Bassano Virtus the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Este.
- Where and when is Bassano Virtus vs Este played?
- Bassano Virtus vs Este is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rino Mercante, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.