Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano?
Mestre starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mestre
Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.
Virtus Bolzano
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Bolzano lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Bolzano have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calvi Noale(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-7 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Mestre wins, 0 draws, 1 Virtus Bolzano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mestre 1-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Virtus Bolzano 1-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Virtus Bolzano 0-2 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Mestre 2-0 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Bolzano score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 4th in Serie D - Girone C (10 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Bolzano sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Virtus Bolzano | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano played?
- Mestre vs Virtus Bolzano is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.