FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate FC Obermais (1,699) and Calvi Noale (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Obermais have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Calvi Noale have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 10, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Adriese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Obermais win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Calvi Noale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | FC Obermais 1-0 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Calvi Noale 2-1 FC Obermais | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Obermais score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Obermais | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Obermais sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (37 points from 35 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
| 15 | FC Obermais | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab model makes FC Obermais the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale played?
- FC Obermais vs Calvi Noale is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.