Bastia vs Auxerre: result 1-0 and analysis
Coupe de la Ligue8th FinalsKick-off on November 7, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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What was the result of Bastia vs Auxerre?
Bastia won 1-0 on November 7, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 83′A. ModesteBastia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Auxerre have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Lyon(away) | 2-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Ajaccio(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Estac Troyes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Nice(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Gazelec FC Ajaccio(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 26, 2012 | Dijon(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Lens(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Le Havre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 1, 2012 | Arles(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Auxerre score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Auxerre | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy