Lille vs Toulouse: result 1-0 and analysis
Coupe de la Ligue8th FinalsKick-off on October 30, 2012 at 07:50 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Toulouse?
Lille won 1-0 on October 30, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 117′N. RouxLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Toulouse have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Valenciennes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Bayern München(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 19, 2012 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Ajaccio(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2012 | Valencia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Evian TG(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Valenciennes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Caen(away) | 1-0 | Coupe de la Ligue |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lille win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | Lille 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 18, 2011 | Toulouse 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 13, 2011 | Lille 2-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2010 | Toulouse 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy