Bate Borisov vs Belshina: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borisov Arena, Borisov
The Footlab model makes Bate Borisov the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Belshina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Belshina?
Bate Borisov starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,653 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bate Borisov have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Belshina have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Viktoriya Maryina Horka(away) | 8-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bate Borisov win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Belshina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Belshina 1-1 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bate Borisov 2-1 Belshina | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Bate Borisov 2-1 Belshina | Premier League |
| May 6, 2023 | Belshina 0-3 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bate Borisov 5-0 Belshina | Coppa |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Belshina 0-5 Bate Borisov | Coppa |
Last archived meeting: Belshina vs Bate Borisov on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bate Borisov score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Belshina score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Belshina | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bate Borisov sit 14th in Premier League (14 points from 17 matches) and Belshina sit 13th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Belshina | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bate Borisov vs Belshina?
- The Footlab model makes Bate Borisov the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Belshina.
- Where and when is Bate Borisov vs Belshina played?
- Bate Borisov vs Belshina is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borisov Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.