FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny, Gomel
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for FC Gomel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?
Dinamo Minsk starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gomel have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Minsk have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Gomel win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Dinamo Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk 2-1 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 0-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | FC Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 2-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 1-0 FC Gomel | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk vs FC Gomel on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gomel sit 5th in Premier League (30 points from 19 matches) and Dinamo Minsk sit 2nd (36 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for FC Gomel.
- Where and when is FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk played?
- FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.