FC Minsk vs Baranovichi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Minsk, Minsk
The Footlab model makes FC Minsk the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Baranovichi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Minsk vs Baranovichi?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate FC Minsk (1,651) and Baranovichi (1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Minsk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Baranovichi have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neman(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Minsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baranovichi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baranovichi 2-1 FC Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Baranovichi vs FC Minsk on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baranovichi score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Baranovichi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Minsk sit 7th in Premier League (28 points from 19 matches) and Baranovichi sit 12th (18 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Minsk vs Baranovichi?
- The Footlab model makes FC Minsk the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Baranovichi.
- Where and when is FC Minsk vs Baranovichi played?
- FC Minsk vs Baranovichi is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Minsk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.