Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)16 Mayıs Şehir Stadyumu, Batman
The Footlab model makes Batman Petrolspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Fatih Karagümrük. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Batman Petrolspor (1,907) and Fatih Karagümrük (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Batman Petrolspor have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fatih Karagümrük have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Boluspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kepezspor(home) | 6-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Batman Petrolspor score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fatih Karagümrük score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batman Petrolspor | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Batman Petrolspor sit 3rd in 1. Lig (7 points from 3 matches) and Fatih Karagümrük sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Batman Petrolspor | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Fatih Karagümrük | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
- The Footlab model makes Batman Petrolspor the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Fatih Karagümrük.
- Where and when is Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük played?
- Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 16 Mayıs Şehir Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.