Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, Muğla
The Footlab model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Muğlaspor (1,808) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muğlaspor have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Muğlaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | Vanspor FK 2-1 Muğlaspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Muğlaspor 1-2 Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Vanspor FK vs Muğlaspor on Apr 1, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Muğlaspor score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muğlaspor sit 18th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Muğlaspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.