Baťov vs Kozlovice: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportovní Areál Baťov, Otrokovice
The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Baťov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baťov vs Kozlovice?
Kozlovice starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baťov have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kozlovice have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brumov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SK Krumvir(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Holešov(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Strání(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bzenec(home) | 5-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Baťov win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Kozlovice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kozlovice 3-1 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Baťov 0-0 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Baťov 1-6 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Kozlovice 4-1 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kozlovice 2-0 Baťov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Baťov 1-2 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Baťov score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kozlovice score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baťov | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kozlovice | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baťov sit 14th in 4. liga - Divizie E (0 points from 2 matches) and Kozlovice sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kozlovice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Kozlovice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Baťov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Baťov | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baťov vs Kozlovice?
- The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Baťov.
- Where and when is Baťov vs Kozlovice played?
- Baťov vs Kozlovice is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportovní Areál Baťov, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.