Holešov vs Břeclav: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Holešov
The Footlab model makes Holešov the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Břeclav. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holešov vs Břeclav?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Holešov (1,544) and Břeclav (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holešov have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Břeclav have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baťov(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Prostejov B(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strání(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kroměříž II(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Holešov win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Břeclav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Břeclav 1-0 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Holešov 1-3 Břeclav | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Holešov score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Břeclav score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holešov | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Břeclav | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holešov sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie E (4 points from 2 matches) and Břeclav sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holešov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Holešov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holešov vs Břeclav?
- The Footlab model makes Holešov the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Břeclav.
- Where and when is Holešov vs Břeclav played?
- Holešov vs Břeclav is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.