FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Gießen, Gießen
The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate FC Gießen (1,801) and Vfb Marburg (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gießen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Gießen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Gießen 1-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 3-1 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-1 FC Gießen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 25, 2023 | FC Gießen 1-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Vfb Marburg 0-0 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 1, 2023 | FC Gießen 10-0 Vfb Marburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gießen sit 15th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg played?
- FC Gießen vs Vfb Marburg is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Gießen, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Fernwaldvs1960 Hanau
- Aug 28, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Aug 29, 2026BaunatalvsFriedberg
- Aug 29, 2026HummetrothvsHünfelder SV
- Aug 29, 2026HadamarvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Aug 30, 2026EddersheimvsKassel 2
- Aug 30, 2026KasselvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Aug 30, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsBayern Alzenau