Fernwald vs Friedberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Friedberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fernwald wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs Friedberg?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,824) and Friedberg (1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fernwald vs Friedberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fernwald
Not enough data to predict the Fernwald lineup.
Friedberg
Not enough data to predict the Friedberg lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Friedberg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fernwald wins, 3 draws, 3 Friedberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Friedberg 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Friedberg 1-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 17, 2024 | Friedberg 3-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Fernwald 4-6 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Friedberg score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Friedberg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (16 points from 12 matches) and Friedberg sit 4th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Friedberg | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Fernwald vs Friedberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Friedberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Friedberg.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs Friedberg played?
- Fernwald vs Friedberg is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.