Bayern Alzenau vs TuBa Pohlheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion im Sportzentrum am Prischoß, Alzenau
The Footlab model makes Bayern Alzenau the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for TuBa Pohlheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayern Alzenau vs TuBa Pohlheim?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Bayern Alzenau (1,787) and TuBa Pohlheim (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern Alzenau have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; TuBa Pohlheim have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fernwald(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern Alzenau score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; TuBa Pohlheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Alzenau | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| TuBa Pohlheim | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayern Alzenau sit 14th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and TuBa Pohlheim sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Bayern Alzenau | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayern Alzenau vs TuBa Pohlheim?
- The Footlab model makes Bayern Alzenau the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for TuBa Pohlheim.
- Where and when is Bayern Alzenau vs TuBa Pohlheim played?
- Bayern Alzenau vs TuBa Pohlheim is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion im Sportzentrum am Prischoß, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.