Match

Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, Marburg

Vfb MarburgBaunatal

The Footlab AI model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vfb Marburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Vfb Marburg (1,760) and Baunatal (1,761).

41%25%34%
Vfb Marburg winDrawBaunatal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Vfb Marburg

Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.

Baunatal

3-5-2
  1. 13N. Schrader
  2. 11N. Möller
  1. 24J. Springer
  2. 10Felix Schäfer
  3. 7R. Sattorov
  4. 14D. Kardovic
  5. 26T. Ludwig
  1. 3N. Künzel
  2. 20M. Blahout
  3. 22D. Borghardt
  1. 39P. Bielert

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vfb Marburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Baunatal have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vfb Marburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Kassel(home)2-0Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 27, 2026Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away)0-1Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 19, 2026Hummetroth(home)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 13, 2026Eddersheim(away)2-4Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 9, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away)2-0Oberliga - Hessen
Baunatal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Kassel 2(away)0-2Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 26, 2026Hünfelder SV(away)3-2Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 19, 2026Bayern Alzenau(away)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)0-3Oberliga - Hessen
Sep 9, 2026Kassel(home)2-0Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vfb Marburg wins, 3 draws, 3 Baunatal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Vfb Marburg 0-3 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen
Nov 15, 2025Baunatal 2-2 Vfb MarburgOberliga - Hessen
Mar 1, 2025Vfb Marburg 0-5 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen
Aug 17, 2024Baunatal 5-0 Vfb MarburgOberliga - Hessen
May 25, 2024Vfb Marburg 1-1 BaunatalOberliga - Hessen
Nov 4, 2023Baunatal 3-3 Vfb MarburgOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Vfb Marburg score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vfb Marburg1.61.067/156/15
Baunatal1.41.749/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vfb Marburg sit 5th in Oberliga - Hessen (20 points from 12 matches) and Baunatal sit 14th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Vfb Marburg12624171420
14Baunatal12336142112

A question about Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal?
The Footlab AI model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Baunatal.
Where and when is Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal played?
Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vfb Marburg and Baunatal

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