Hünfelder SV vs Friedberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Hünfeld, Hünfeld
The Footlab model makes Hünfelder SV the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Friedberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hünfelder SV vs Friedberg?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Hünfelder SV (1,786) and Friedberg (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hünfelder SV have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Friedberg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hünfelder SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Friedberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Friedberg 3-4 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Hünfelder SV 0-2 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Friedberg 1-1 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Hünfelder SV 0-4 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Hünfelder SV 2-2 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Friedberg 5-3 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Friedberg vs Hünfelder SV on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hünfelder SV score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hünfelder SV | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hünfelder SV sit 2nd in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 5 matches) and Friedberg sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hünfelder SV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hünfelder SV vs Friedberg?
- The Footlab model makes Hünfelder SV the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Friedberg.
- Where and when is Hünfelder SV vs Friedberg played?
- Hünfelder SV vs Friedberg is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Hünfeld, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.