Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: result 3-1 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
Full time
What was the result of Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Bayern München won 3-1 on August 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. DíazBayern München
- 52′B. GrudaRB Leipzig
- 57′N. BrownBayern München
- 81′J. MusialaBayern München
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bayern München win at 71%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bayern München
- 22A. Ibrahimović
- 6J. Kimmich
- 8T. Bischof
- 14L. Díaz
- 27K. Laimer
- 45A. Pavlović
- 46T. Binder
- 3Kim Min-Jae
- 4J. Tah
- 11N. Brown
- 1M. Neuer
RB Leipzig
- 10B. Gruda
- 27T. Gomis
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 7A. Nusa
- 13N. Seiwald
- 30A. MaksimoviÄ
- 4W. Orbán
- 17R. Baku
- 22D. Raum
- 23C. Lukeba
- 26M. Vandevoordt
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| May 16, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(home) | 5-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München wins, 1 draw, 0 RB Leipzig wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bayern München 2-0 RB Leipzig | DFB Pokal |
| Jan 17, 2026 | RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bayern München 6-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2025 | RB Leipzig 3-3 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Bayern München 5-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Bayern München 2-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern München score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| RB Leipzig | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy