Match

Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern MünchenSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,532 Elo points against 2,097, a 435-point gap.

88%8%4%
Bayern München winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 14L. Díaz
  4. 45A. Pavlović
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 2D. Upamecano
  2. 11N. Brown
  3. 3Kim Min-Jae
  4. 27K. Laimer
  1. 40J. Urbig

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 30S. Marino
  2. 18M. Pieringer
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026RB Leipzig(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Bayern München wins, 0 draws, 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2020Bayern München 3-2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2019SC Paderborn 07 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Feb 6, 2018SC Paderborn 07 0-6 Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
Feb 21, 2015SC Paderborn 07 0-6 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Sep 23, 2014Bayern München 4-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07 on Feb 21, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 3.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayern München3.21.1312/1514/15
SC Paderborn 071.41.457/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (14 points from 6 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München642022514
15SC Paderborn 076123595

A question about Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayern München and SC Paderborn 07

Ready to know everything about football?