BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SSKB-Stadium, Gaborone
The Footlab AI model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for BDF XI. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morupule Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers?
Morupule Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,427 vs 1,306).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BDF XI
Not enough data to predict the BDF XI lineup.
Morupule Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Morupule Wanderers lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BDF XI have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Morupule Wanderers have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orapa United(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tonota(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Prisons XI(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nico United(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Township Rollers(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Police XI(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Police XI(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BDF XI wins, 2 draws, 2 Morupule Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Morupule Wanderers 1-1 BDF XI | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | BDF XI 0-2 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | BDF XI 2-2 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Morupule Wanderers 2-1 BDF XI | Premier League |
| May 9, 2024 | BDF XI 3-1 Morupule Wanderers | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Morupule Wanderers 0-1 BDF XI | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Morupule Wanderers vs BDF XI on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BDF XI score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morupule Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDF XI | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Morupule Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BDF XI sit 13th in Premier League (4 points from 4 matches) and Morupule Wanderers sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | BDF XI | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
A question about BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for BDF XI.
- Where and when is BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers played?
- BDF XI vs Morupule Wanderers is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SSKB-Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.