Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Be1 NFA (1,381) and Atmosfera (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Be1 NFA have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minija(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Be1 NFA win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atmosfera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Atmosfera 0-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Be1 NFA 1-3 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| May 10, 2025 | Atmosfera 2-4 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Atmosfera 1-0 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Be1 NFA 3-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Be1 NFA 2-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Be1 NFA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Be1 NFA sit 4th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 20 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (26 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Be1 NFA | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera played?
- Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.