Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab AI model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Be1 NFA wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Be1 NFA (1,421) and Atmosfera (1,381).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Be1 NFA
4-3-3- 13U. W. Akpan
- 9T. Gutauskas
- 11G. Barkauskas
- 8D. Sluta
- 24N. Pavlovskij
- 12K. Bekwayo
- 20M. Issah
- 2I. Virbalas
- 17J. Turcinskas
- 52A. Milkintis
- 1I. Kort
Atmosfera
4-3-3- 14E. Gritkus
- 19K. Seki
- 17M. Fujiyoshi
- 67M. Vasiliauskas
- 8K. Kitazawa
- 6A. Pilipavicius
- 11D. Gineitis
- 15M. Bawa
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 66M. Stasys
- 1L. Juska
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Be1 NFA have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Be1 NFA wins, 0 draws, 2 Atmosfera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Atmosfera 0-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Be1 NFA 1-3 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| May 10, 2025 | Atmosfera 2-4 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Atmosfera 1-0 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Be1 NFA 3-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Be1 NFA 2-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Be1 NFA score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Be1 NFA sit 3rd in 1 Lyga (50 points from 24 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 50 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 30 |
A question about Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera played?
- Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.