Beasain vs Amurrio Club: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estado Municipal de Loinaz, Beasain
The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Amurrio Club. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beasain vs Amurrio Club?
Beasain starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beasain have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Amurrio Club have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Touring(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2022 | Barakaldo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Uritarra(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | San Ignacio(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Tolosa(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Beasain win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Amurrio Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | Beasain 2-0 Amurrio Club | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Amurrio Club 0-0 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Beasain vs Amurrio Club on Jan 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Beasain score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Amurrio Club score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beasain | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Amurrio Club | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beasain vs Amurrio Club?
- The Footlab model makes Beasain the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Amurrio Club.
- Where and when is Beasain vs Amurrio Club played?
- Beasain vs Amurrio Club is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estado Municipal de Loinaz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.