Durango vs Eibar III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Durango wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,343 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs Eibar III?
On Elo ratings, Durango has 1,678 points and Eibar III 1,624.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs Eibar III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Eibar III have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Durango win, 2 draws, 1 Eibar III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Durango 3-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Eibar III 2-2 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Eibar III 0-0 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Durango 1-2 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar III score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eibar III | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and Eibar III sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Durango vs Eibar III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs Eibar III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar III.
- Where and when is Durango vs Eibar III played?
- Durango vs Eibar III is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.