Beerschot VA vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Olympisch Stadion, Antwerp (Anvers)
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Beerschot VA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beerschot VA vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beerschot VA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dender(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 4-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Beerschot VA win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Excelsior Virton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Excelsior Virton 0-1 Beerschot VA | Cup |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Beerschot VA 3-0 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Excelsior Virton 1-2 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Excelsior Virton 1-0 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Beerschot VA 1-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Beerschot VA 2-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA on Sep 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beerschot VA score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beerschot VA sit 5th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Beerschot VA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beerschot VA vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Beerschot VA.
- Where and when is Beerschot VA vs Excelsior Virton played?
- Beerschot VA vs Excelsior Virton is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Olympisch Stadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.