KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K.: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K.?
K. Lierse S.K. starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; K. Lierse S.K. have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 KRC Genk II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 K. Lierse S.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | KRC Genk II 2-3 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | KRC Genk II 1-3 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 2-2 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | KRC Genk II 1-3 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K. on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Genk II sit 14th in Challenger Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K.?
- The Footlab model makes KRC Genk II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K. played?
- KRC Genk II vs K. Lierse S.K. is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.