Seraing United vs Dender: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pairay, Seraing
The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Seraing United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dender wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seraing United vs Dender?
Dender starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Seraing United vs Dender
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Seraing United
4-4-2- 27A. Messoussa
- 24T. Lockman
- 22M. Scarpinati
- 20A. Tunkadi
- 7A. Namri
- 14F. Mabani
- 5V. Corneillie
- 3O. Kébé
- 15Moustapha Diop
- 31L. Gregoire
- 1N. Gillekens
Dender
5-3-2- 15K. Koton
- 7E. Mballa Amougou
- 18N. Rôdes
- 24M. Viltard
- 53A. Nhaili
- 21K. Cools
- 6B. Kerf
- 45Amine Daali
- 70M. Sambu
- 22I. Breugelmans
- 16J. Devriendt
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seraing United have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dender have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 2-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dender(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Seraing United win, 1 draw, 3 Dender wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dender 2-0 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Dender 5-1 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Seraing United 1-3 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Seraing United 1-1 Dender | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Dender 0-1 Seraing United | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Dender vs Seraing United on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seraing United score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dender score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seraing United | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Dender | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seraing United sit 14th in Challenger Pro League (2 points from 7 matches) and Dender sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Seraing United vs Dender?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seraing United vs Dender?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Seraing United.
- Where and when is Seraing United vs Dender played?
- Seraing United vs Dender is played on March 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pairay, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.