Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Olympisch Stadion, Antwerp (Anvers)
The Footlab model makes Beerschot VA the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.?
Beerschot VA starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beerschot VA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; K. Lierse S.K. have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dender(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 4-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Beerschot VA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 K. Lierse S.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-2 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Beerschot VA 1-0 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Beerschot VA 2-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | K. Lierse S.K. 1-3 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| May 13, 2023 | Beerschot VA 1-2 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 5, 2023 | K. Lierse S.K. 0-1 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: K. Lierse S.K. vs Beerschot VA on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beerschot VA score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beerschot VA sit 5th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Beerschot VA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K.?
- The Footlab model makes Beerschot VA the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. played?
- Beerschot VA vs K. Lierse S.K. is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Olympisch Stadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.