Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
Excelsior Virton is a heavy favourite: 1,988 Elo points against 1,677, a 312-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Virton have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; KRC Genk II have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Excelsior Virton win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 KRC Genk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 3-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | KRC Genk II 1-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 0-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | KRC Genk II 0-1 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II on May 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Virton sit 1st in Challenger Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and KRC Genk II sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II played?
- Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Yvan Georges, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.