KAA Gent II vs Dender: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab model makes KAA Gent II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dender. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KAA Gent II vs Dender?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate KAA Gent II (1,763) and Dender (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KAA Gent II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dender have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 0-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 KAA Gent II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dender win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2022 | Dender 4-1 KAA Gent II | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
KAA Gent II score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KAA Gent II sit 15th in Challenger Pro League (0 points from 1 matches) and Dender sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | KAA Gent II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KAA Gent II vs Dender?
- The Footlab model makes KAA Gent II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dender.
- Where and when is KAA Gent II vs Dender played?
- KAA Gent II vs Dender is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.