Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Beitar Jerusalem (2,078) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (2,108).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 29, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | State Cup |
| May 19, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Jerusalem sit 2nd in Ligat Ha'al (76 points from 36 matches) and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 1st (79 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 38 | 79 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78 | 40 | 76 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.