Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab AI model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beitar Jerusalem wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Beitar Jerusalem (2,023) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (2,043).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beitar Jerusalem
4-3-3- 77O. Atzili
- 19S. Weissman
- 7Y. Shua
- 40B. Enow
- 30T. Yosefi
- 26D. Worko
- 11T. Muzi
- 44L. Gadrani
- 4B. Carabalí
- 2N. Antwi
- 55Miguel Silva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3- 66I. Zlatanović
- 20J. East
- 45M. Abu Rumi
- 17A. Forson
- 25Lucas Ventura
- 8M. Kna'an
- 5Pedro Amador
- 2G. Mizrahi
- 44D. Diop
- 4M. Vítor
- 1O. Marciano
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 4-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 2-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 2-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Beitar Jerusalem wins, 3 draws, 3 Hapoel Beer Sheva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 29, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | State Cup |
| May 19, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.4 | 1.4 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Jerusalem sit 5th in Ligat Ha'al (12 points from 6 matches) and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
A question about Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.