Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Beitar Jerusalem (2,061) and Hapoel Tel Aviv (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Jerusalem sit 2nd in Ligat Ha'al (76 points from 36 matches) and Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 4th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78 | 40 | 76 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 38 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.