Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Haifa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa?
Maccabi Haifa starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Haifa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Haifa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 2-3 Hapoel Haifa | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 1-1 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 1-5 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 0-2 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Haifa.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.