Belasica vs Makedonija GjP: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Blagoj Istatov, Strumica
The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Makedonija GjP. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belasica vs Makedonija GjP?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Belasica (1,442) and Makedonija GjP (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasica have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Makedonija GjP have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gorno Lisiče(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teteks(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 25, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-4 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Belasica win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Makedonija GjP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Makedonija GjP 0-0 Belasica | Second League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Belasica 0-4 Makedonija GjP | Second League |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Belasica 2-2 Makedonija GjP | Cup |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Belasica 0-2 Makedonija GjP | First League |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Belasica 1-3 Makedonija GjP | First League |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Belasica 1-4 Makedonija GjP | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Makedonija GjP vs Belasica on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Makedonija GjP score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Makedonija GjP | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belasica sit 1st in Second League (6 points from 2 matches) and Makedonija GjP sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Makedonija GjP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belasica vs Makedonija GjP?
- The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Makedonija GjP.
- Where and when is Belasica vs Makedonija GjP played?
- Belasica vs Makedonija GjP is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Blagoj Istatov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.