Novaci vs Pelister: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novatsi
The Footlab AI model makes Pelister the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Novaci. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pelister wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novaci vs Pelister?
Pelister starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,330).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Novaci vs Pelister
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Novaci
Not enough data to predict the Novaci lineup.
Pelister
4-3-3- 14M. Ristovski
- 44M. Ivanovski
- 7V. Kerim
- 10S. Spirovski
- 21G. Krstevski
- 17D. Angelevski
- 24K. Ristevski
- 22M. Srbijanac
- 5N. Zdravković
- 11F. Boshkovski
- 1A. Jovchevski
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novaci have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pelister have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teteks(home) | 1-4 | Second League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Ohrid(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kamjani(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ohrid(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(away) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Studenicani(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Novaci win, 1 draw, 3 Pelister wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novaci 4-2 Pelister | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Novaci 0-0 Pelister | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Pelister 5-0 Novaci | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Novaci 1-3 Pelister | Second League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Pelister 4-0 Novaci | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Novaci score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pelister score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Pelister | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novaci sit 7th in Second League (7 points from 6 matches) and Pelister sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pelister | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Novaci | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Novaci vs Pelister?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novaci vs Pelister?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pelister the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Novaci.
- Where and when is Novaci vs Pelister played?
- Novaci vs Pelister is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.