Belgium vs Wales: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 07:45 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
Full time
What was the result of Belgium vs Wales?
Belgium won 3-1 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 10′H. WilsonWales
- 22′K. De BruyneBelgium
- 28′T. HazardBelgium
- 73′R. LukakuBelgium (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Wales have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Denmark(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | England(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Switzerland(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Iceland(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | England(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Finland(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 12, 2020 | USA(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Bulgaria(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Belgium win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wales win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2016 | Wales 3-1 Belgium | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 3.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 3.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Wales | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgium sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (18 points from 8 matches) and Wales sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy