Slovenia vs Croatia: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
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What was the result of Slovenia vs Croatia?
Slovenia won 1-0 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 15′S. LovrićSlovenia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovenia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Croatia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Greece(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Kosovo(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Azerbaijan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Moldova(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Kosovo(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Portugal(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Sweden(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Türkiye(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Sweden(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovenia score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia | 1.7 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Croatia | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovenia sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (4 points from 6 matches) and Croatia sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy