Türkiye vs Netherlands: result 4-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 24, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, İstanbul
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What was the result of Türkiye vs Netherlands?
Türkiye won 4-2 on March 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 15′B. YılmazTürkiye
- 34′B. YılmazTürkiye (pen.)
- 46′H. ÇalhanoğluTürkiye
- 75′D. KlaassenNetherlands
- 76′L. de JongNetherlands
- 81′B. YılmazTürkiye
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Türkiye have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Netherlands have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Hungary(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Russia(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Croatia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Serbia(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Russia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Poland(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Spain(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Türkiye score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Netherlands | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Türkiye sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (13 points from 6 matches) and Netherlands sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Türkiye | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy