Match

Belize vs Sint Maarten: prediction and stats

CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 4Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)FFB Field, Belmopán

BelizeSint Maarten

The Footlab AI model makes Belize the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Sint Maarten. The most likely score is 1-1. If Belize wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belize vs Sint Maarten?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Belize (1,391) and Sint Maarten (1,367).

42%24%34%
Belize winDrawSint Maarten win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Belize vs Sint Maarten

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Belize

4-1-4-1
  1. 9D. Wade
  1. 14D. Myvett
  2. 20K. López
  3. 16J. Polanco
  4. 17I. Gill
  5. 10K. Lopez
  1. 5D. Nembhard
  2. 7Nahjib Kazim Guerra
  3. 3A. Ayala
  4. 2P. Martínez
  1. 22W. West

Sint Maarten

Not enough data to predict the Sint Maarten lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belize have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Sint Maarten have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belize
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026French Guyana(away)0-1CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 4, 2026French Guyana(home)0-2CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 30, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines(home)0-1CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 27, 2026Sint Maarten(away)1-0CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 30, 2026Guyana(away)1-3CONCACAF Series
Sint Maarten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines(away)0-4CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 3, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines(home)2-4CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 29, 2026French Guyana(away)0-1CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 27, 2026Belize(home)0-1CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 30, 2026Dominica(away)0-0CONCACAF Series

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Belize win, 0 draws, 1 Sint Maarten win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Sint Maarten 0-1 BelizeCONCACAF Nations League
Mar 27, 2026Belize 2-3 Sint MaartenCONCACAF Series

Last archived meeting: Sint Maarten vs Belize on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Belize score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sint Maarten score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belize1.32.136/158/15
Sint Maarten1.12.246/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Belize vs Sint Maarten?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belize vs Sint Maarten?
The Footlab AI model makes Belize the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Sint Maarten.
Where and when is Belize vs Sint Maarten played?
Belize vs Sint Maarten is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at FFB Field, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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