Bella Vista vs Progreso: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 29, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Parque José Nasazzi, Montevideo
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What was the result of Bella Vista vs Progreso?
Bella Vista won 3-1 on September 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′G. AllesProgreso (pen.)
- 51′Agustín Viana AcheBella Vista
- 78′M. AbisabBella Vista
- 87′G. FreitasBella Vista
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bella Vista have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Progreso have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2012 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | Danubio(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 28, 2012 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Bella Vista score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Vista | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Progreso | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy