Cerro vs Club Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 29, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Club Nacional?
Cerro won 1-0 on September 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 50′P. CaballeroCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Club Nacional have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Progreso(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Central Espanol(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 4-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Cerro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | Club Nacional 3-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Cerro on Mar 4, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 2.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Nacional | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Club Nacional sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy