Match

Bellinzona vs Luzern II: prediction and stats

1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona

BellinzonaLuzern II

The Footlab AI model makes Bellinzona the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Luzern II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bellinzona wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bellinzona vs Luzern II?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Bellinzona (1,415) and Luzern II (1,469).

39%23%38%
Bellinzona winDrawLuzern II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bellinzona vs Luzern II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bellinzona

Not enough data to predict the Bellinzona lineup.

Luzern II

Not enough data to predict the Luzern II lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bellinzona have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Luzern II have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bellinzona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026YF Juventus(away)0-21. Liga Promotion
Oct 4, 2026Zürich II(home)0-41. Liga Promotion
Sep 27, 2026Breitenrain(home)2-21. Liga Promotion
Sep 19, 2026Grand-Saconnex(away)0-31. Liga Promotion
Sep 13, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-11. Liga Promotion
Luzern II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FC Schaffhausen(home)0-81. Liga Promotion
Oct 3, 2026Basel II(away)2-31. Liga Promotion
Sep 26, 2026Amical Saint-Prex(home)2-31. Liga Promotion
Sep 20, 2026Bavois(away)1-01. Liga Promotion
Sep 12, 2026Biel-Bienne(home)0-11. Liga Promotion

How many goals should we expect?

Bellinzona score 0.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Luzern II score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bellinzona0.82.607/1510/15
Luzern II1.62.529/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bellinzona sit 18th in 1. Liga Promotion (5 points from 11 matches) and Luzern II sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Luzern II1121815277
18Bellinzona111287245

A question about Bellinzona vs Luzern II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bellinzona vs Luzern II?
The Footlab AI model makes Bellinzona the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Luzern II.
Where and when is Bellinzona vs Luzern II played?
Bellinzona vs Luzern II is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bellinzona and Luzern II

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