Benevento vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benevento vs Catanzaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benevento
4-3-2-1- 9F. Salvemini
- 11D. Lamesta
- 8M. Maita
- 29D. Okereke
- 6A. Siatounis
- 28C. Kouan
- 14S. Scognamillo
- 23P. Saio
- 77E. Pierozzi
- 17L. Sernicola
- 26G. Vannucchi
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 19N. Koffi
- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 30G. Alesi
- 98N. Mosti
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 26B. Verrengia
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Catanzaro | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benevento sit 7th in Serie B (7 points from 5 matches) and Catanzaro sit 19th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Catanzaro played?
- Benevento vs Catanzaro is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.