Cesena vs Empoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cesena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
On Elo ratings, Cesena has 1,819 points and Empoli 1,810.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cesena vs Empoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 80A. Fiori
- 7G. Frabotta
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 18M. Guidi
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 4J. Gelli
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 1A. Siano
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 35M. Egan
- 8L. Magnino
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 12J. Seghetti
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Empoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cesena win, 1 draw, 4 Empoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Empoli 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Cesena 0-1 Empoli | Serie B |
| Apr 17, 2018 | Cesena 2-3 Empoli | Serie B |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Empoli 5-3 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2016 | Empoli 1-2 Cesena | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 8, 2015 | Empoli 2-0 Cesena | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Empoli score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Empoli | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 5 matches) and Empoli sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Cesena vs Empoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Empoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cesena the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Empoli played?
- Cesena vs Empoli is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.